8通道生理狀態路由 Shallow Experts v2
Global-init specialists 使用局部凍結/差別學習率,baseline routing 特徵與 soft-routing 溫度只由 validation 選擇。Outer test 在設定鎖定後才讀取。
鎖定設定
| Expert adaptation | Baseline feature set | τ | γ |
|---|---|---|---|
| head_only | corrected | 2.0 | 0.25 |

最終結果
| 設定 | 模型 | Accuracy mean ± STD | Balanced accuracy | Macro-F1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All trials | Global Shallow | 71.93% ± 17.61% | 71.92% | 0.711 |
| All trials | Optimized hard K=2 | 72.01% ± 17.38% | 72.01% | 0.717 |
| All trials | Confidence-aware soft K=2 | 72.03% ± 17.48% | 72.02% | 0.713 |
| 20 Left + 20 Right | Global Shallow | 59.75% ± 10.58% | 59.75% | 0.562 |
| 20 Left + 20 Right | Optimized hard K=2 | 59.95% ± 11.35% | 59.95% | 0.578 |
| 20 Left + 20 Right | Confidence-aware soft K=2 | 59.70% ± 10.58% | 59.70% | 0.562 |
判斷:優化後 routing 仍未對 Global Shallow 產生足夠穩定的優勢。


配對統計
| 設定 | 比較 | 平均差 | Bootstrap 95% CI | Holm p | 改善受試者 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All trials | optimized_hard_k2 - global_shallow | +0.08 pp | [-0.77, +0.94] pp | 1.0000 | 5/10 |
| All trials | optimized_soft_k2 - global_shallow | +0.10 pp | [-0.05, +0.28] pp | 1.0000 | 3/10 |
| 20 Left + 20 Right | optimized_hard_k2 - global_shallow | +0.20 pp | [-1.65, +1.40] pp | 0.6395 | 7/10 |
| 20 Left + 20 Right | optimized_soft_k2 - global_shallow | -0.05 pp | [-0.15, +0.00] pp | 0.9519 | 0/10 |
Routing 是否真的有用
| 設定 | Silhouette median | Bootstrap ARI median | Expert disagreement | Oracle accuracy | Router hit rate | Fallback clusters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All trials | 0.139 | 0.161 | 9.52% | 76.74% | 52.07% | 0 |
| 20 Left + 20 Right | 0.099 | 0.065 | 16.90% | 68.25% | 52.55% | 70 |

方法界線
所有 scaler、PCA、KMeans 與距離尺度只 fit outer-train baseline。現有頻帶特徵本來已取 log;新版另外比較 Fisher-z correlation 與較集中於 Mu/Beta 的特徵。低頻 slope 只視為探索性準備狀態,不宣稱為 MRCP。
資料與程式
fold results · trial predictions · routing diagnostics · paired comparisons · 核心程式